EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

Edwin Arroyo is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Michael King throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the changeup: Michael King throws it 27% of the time, and Edwin Arroyo strikes out 13% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 75% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Monday, August 31, 2026

Edwin Arroyo is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Michael King throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the changeup: Michael King throws it 27% of the time, and Edwin Arroyo strikes out 13% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 75% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
695490
player name
Edwin Arroyo
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Michael King
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.139
own baseline
0.218
k delta
-0.079
weighted avg
0.24
mix covered
0.75
detail
Edwin Arroyo is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Michael King throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the changeup: Michael King throws it 27% of the time, and Edwin Arroyo strikes out 13% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 75% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.