EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-18 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

Héctor Rodríguez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 8% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 18 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Héctor Rodríguez strikes out 4% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 74% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE NUMBERS

player id
699302
player name
Héctor Rodríguez
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Clay Holmes
direction
comfortable
headline
-18 pts
weighted krate
0.078
own baseline
0.26
k delta
-0.182
weighted avg
0.305
mix covered
0.743
detail
Héctor Rodríguez is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 8% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 18 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Héctor Rodríguez strikes out 4% of the time against it across 23 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 74% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.