EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Wednesday, September 30, 2026
Pedro Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 26% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Pivetta throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Nick Pivetta throws it 22% of the time, and Pedro Ramírez strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Pedro Ramírez Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
699393
player name
Pedro Ramírez
team
Chicago Cubs
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
pitcher name
Nick Pivetta
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.26
own baseline
0.184
k delta
0.076
weighted avg
0.239
mix covered
0.988
detail
Pedro Ramírez is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 26% of the time against the kind of pitches Nick Pivetta throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Nick Pivetta throws it 22% of the time, and Pedro Ramírez strikes out 54% of the time against it across 13 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.