EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Friday, August 28, 2026

Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
699625
player name
Jimmy Crooks
team
St. Louis Cardinals
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Jared Jones
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.44
own baseline
0.329
k delta
0.111
weighted avg
0.151
mix covered
0.933
detail
Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 34% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.