EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+10 pts

Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Braxton Ashcraft throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the slider: Braxton Ashcraft throws it 23% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Sunday, August 30, 2026

Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Braxton Ashcraft throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the slider: Braxton Ashcraft throws it 23% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jimmy Crooks Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
699625
player name
Jimmy Crooks
team
St. Louis Cardinals
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Braxton Ashcraft
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.433
own baseline
0.329
k delta
0.104
weighted avg
0.102
mix covered
0.956
detail
Jimmy Crooks is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 43% of the time against the kind of pitches Braxton Ashcraft throws, compared with 33% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the slider: Braxton Ashcraft throws it 23% of the time, and Jimmy Crooks strikes out 64% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.