EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+10 pts

Roman Anthony is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Chris Bassitt throws it 22% of the time, and Roman Anthony strikes out 57% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Saturday, September 5, 2026

Roman Anthony is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Chris Bassitt throws it 22% of the time, and Roman Anthony strikes out 57% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Roman Anthony Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
701350
player name
Roman Anthony
team
Boston Red Sox
matchup
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
pitcher name
Chris Bassitt
direction
vulnerable
headline
+10 pts
weighted krate
0.347
own baseline
0.248
k delta
0.099
weighted avg
0.164
mix covered
0.599
detail
Roman Anthony is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 35% of the time against the kind of pitches Chris Bassitt throws, compared with 25% against everyone else — 10 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Chris Bassitt throws it 22% of the time, and Roman Anthony strikes out 57% of the time against it across 14 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 60% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.