EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
+8 pts
STRIKES OUT MORE
Published Saturday, September 26, 2026
Cam Smith is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Jack Perkins throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Jack Perkins throws it 28% of the time, and Cam Smith strikes out 49% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR
Cam Smith Over 0.5 strikeouts
THE NUMBERS
player id
701358
player name
Cam Smith
team
Houston Astros
matchup
Houston Astros @ Athletics
pitcher name
Jack Perkins
direction
vulnerable
headline
+8 pts
weighted krate
0.334
own baseline
0.259
k delta
0.075
weighted avg
0.176
mix covered
0.918
detail
Cam Smith is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Jack Perkins throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 8 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Jack Perkins throws it 28% of the time, and Cam Smith strikes out 49% of the time against it across 53 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.