EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kevin Gausman throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kevin Gausman throws it 51% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 149 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Saturday, August 29, 2026

Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kevin Gausman throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kevin Gausman throws it 51% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 149 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Sal Stewart Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
701398
player name
Sal Stewart
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Kevin Gausman
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.333
own baseline
0.219
k delta
0.114
weighted avg
0.268
mix covered
0.896
detail
Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 33% of the time against the kind of pitches Kevin Gausman throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kevin Gausman throws it 51% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 149 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.