EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+14 pts

Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 155 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 155 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Sal Stewart Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
701398
player name
Sal Stewart
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Kyle Harrison
direction
vulnerable
headline
+14 pts
weighted krate
0.355
own baseline
0.215
k delta
0.14
weighted avg
0.277
mix covered
0.575
detail
Sal Stewart is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 36% of the time against it across 155 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.