EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-7 pts

STRIKES OUT LESS

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

Sal Stewart is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 11% of the time against it across 148 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
701398
player name
Sal Stewart
team
Cincinnati Reds
matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
pitcher name
Clay Holmes
direction
comfortable
headline
-7 pts
weighted krate
0.143
own baseline
0.218
k delta
-0.075
weighted avg
0.283
mix covered
0.919
detail
Sal Stewart is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 14% of the time against the kind of pitches Clay Holmes throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 7 points better. The reason is the sinker: Clay Holmes throws it 49% of the time, and Sal Stewart strikes out 11% of the time against it across 148 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.