EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

-8 pts

Nathan Church is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 10% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Landen Roupp throws it 34% of the time, and Nathan Church strikes out 5% of the time against it across 58 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 14, 2026

Nathan Church is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 10% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Landen Roupp throws it 34% of the time, and Nathan Church strikes out 5% of the time against it across 58 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE NUMBERS

player id
701675
player name
Nathan Church
team
St. Louis Cardinals
matchup
San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Landen Roupp
direction
comfortable
headline
-8 pts
weighted krate
0.102
own baseline
0.179
k delta
-0.077
weighted avg
0.268
mix covered
0.943
detail
Nathan Church is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 10% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 18% against everyone else — 8 points better. The reason is the sinker: Landen Roupp throws it 34% of the time, and Nathan Church strikes out 5% of the time against it across 58 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.