EDGEAI
-13 pts
Kaelen Culpepper is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 10% of the time against the kind of pitches Jordan Hicks throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Jordan Hicks throws it 49% of the time, and Kaelen Culpepper strikes out 8% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 65% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Sunday, August 30, 2026
Kaelen Culpepper is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 10% of the time against the kind of pitches Jordan Hicks throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 13 points better. The reason is the sinker: Jordan Hicks throws it 49% of the time, and Kaelen Culpepper strikes out 8% of the time against it across 12 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 65% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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