EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+9 pts

Cole Young is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Jesús Luzardo throws, compared with 17% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Jesús Luzardo throws it 38% of the time, and Cole Young strikes out 44% of the time against it across 36 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Cole Young is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Jesús Luzardo throws, compared with 17% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Jesús Luzardo throws it 38% of the time, and Cole Young strikes out 44% of the time against it across 36 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Cole Young Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
702284
player name
Cole Young
team
Seattle Mariners
matchup
Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners
pitcher name
Jesús Luzardo
direction
vulnerable
headline
+9 pts
weighted krate
0.254
own baseline
0.169
k delta
0.085
weighted avg
0.188
mix covered
1
detail
Cole Young is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Jesús Luzardo throws, compared with 17% against everyone else — 9 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Jesús Luzardo throws it 38% of the time, and Cole Young strikes out 44% of the time against it across 36 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.