EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

Jackson Holliday is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Jackson Holliday strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 7, 2026

Jackson Holliday is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Jackson Holliday strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
702616
player name
Jackson Holliday
team
Baltimore Orioles
matchup
Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
pitcher name
Joey Cantillo
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.292
own baseline
0.23
k delta
0.062
weighted avg
0.219
mix covered
0.883
detail
Jackson Holliday is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 29% of the time against the kind of pitches Joey Cantillo throws, compared with 23% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the curveball: Joey Cantillo throws it 30% of the time, and Jackson Holliday strikes out 40% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.