EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-10 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Luis Lara is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 35% of the time, and Luis Lara strikes out 8% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
800325
player name
Luis Lara
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Jared Jones
direction
comfortable
headline
-10 pts
weighted krate
0.122
own baseline
0.22
k delta
-0.098
weighted avg
0.307
mix covered
0.927
detail
Luis Lara is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 12% of the time against the kind of pitches Jared Jones throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the slider: Jared Jones throws it 35% of the time, and Luis Lara strikes out 8% of the time against it across 25 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.