EDGEAI
MLBhitter vs arsenal
-6 pts
STRIKES OUT LESS
Published Sunday, October 11, 2026
Luis Lara is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Tarik Skubal throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the changeup: Tarik Skubal throws it 26% of the time, and Luis Lara strikes out 5% of the time against it across 21 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
THE NUMBERS
player id
800325
player name
Luis Lara
team
Milwaukee Brewers
matchup
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers
pitcher name
Tarik Skubal
direction
comfortable
headline
-6 pts
weighted krate
0.152
own baseline
0.217
k delta
-0.065
weighted avg
0.255
mix covered
0.95
detail
Luis Lara is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 15% of the time against the kind of pitches Tarik Skubal throws, compared with 22% against everyone else — 6 points better. The reason is the changeup: Tarik Skubal throws it 26% of the time, and Luis Lara strikes out 5% of the time against it across 21 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.