EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+14 pts

Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 40% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Boyd throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Matthew Boyd throws it 44% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 42% of the time against it across 60 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Sunday, September 13, 2026

Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 40% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Boyd throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Matthew Boyd throws it 44% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 42% of the time against it across 60 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
804606
player name
Konnor Griffin
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
pitcher name
Matthew Boyd
direction
vulnerable
headline
+14 pts
weighted krate
0.402
own baseline
0.264
k delta
0.138
weighted avg
0.224
mix covered
0.987
detail
Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 40% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Boyd throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 14 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Matthew Boyd throws it 44% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 42% of the time against it across 60 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.