EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+15 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Thursday, September 17, 2026

Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 15 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 42% of the time against it across 60 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
804606
player name
Konnor Griffin
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Kyle Harrison
direction
vulnerable
headline
+15 pts
weighted krate
0.417
own baseline
0.264
k delta
0.153
weighted avg
0.255
mix covered
0.569
detail
Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 42% of the time against the kind of pitches Kyle Harrison throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 15 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Kyle Harrison throws it 57% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 42% of the time against it across 60 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 57% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.