EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+11 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Liberatore throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Matthew Liberatore throws it 30% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 40% of the time against it across 67 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Konnor Griffin Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
804606
player name
Konnor Griffin
team
Pittsburgh Pirates
matchup
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Matthew Liberatore
direction
vulnerable
headline
+11 pts
weighted krate
0.364
own baseline
0.257
k delta
0.107
weighted avg
0.231
mix covered
0.871
detail
Konnor Griffin is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 36% of the time against the kind of pitches Matthew Liberatore throws, compared with 26% against everyone else — 11 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Matthew Liberatore throws it 30% of the time, and Konnor Griffin strikes out 40% of the time against it across 67 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.