EDGEAI
-10 pts
Rafael Flores Jr. is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Landen Roupp throws it 34% of the time, and Rafael Flores Jr. strikes out 9% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 55% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
Published Wednesday, September 2, 2026
Rafael Flores Jr. is a safer bet to put the ball in play tonight than he usually is, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 21% of the time against the kind of pitches Landen Roupp throws, compared with 31% against everyone else — 10 points better. The reason is the sinker: Landen Roupp throws it 34% of the time, and Rafael Flores Jr. strikes out 9% of the time against it across 11 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 55% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.
THE NUMBERS
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