EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+7 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Monday, October 5, 2026

George Lombard Jr. is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and George Lombard Jr. strikes out 38% of the time against it across 32 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 76% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
806146
player name
George Lombard Jr.
team
New York Yankees
matchup
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays
pitcher name
Freddy Peralta
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.337
own baseline
0.265
k delta
0.072
weighted avg
0.131
mix covered
0.764
detail
George Lombard Jr. is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 34% of the time against the kind of pitches Freddy Peralta throws, compared with 27% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Freddy Peralta throws it 53% of the time, and George Lombard Jr. strikes out 38% of the time against it across 32 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 76% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.