EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+6 pts

STRIKES OUT MORE

Published Thursday, October 15, 2026

Ben Williamson is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 19% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 29% of the time, and Ben Williamson strikes out 42% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 72% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Ben Williamson Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
810938
player name
Ben Williamson
team
Tampa Bay Rays
matchup
Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Guardians
pitcher name
Gavin Williams
direction
vulnerable
headline
+6 pts
weighted krate
0.247
own baseline
0.186
k delta
0.061
weighted avg
0.228
mix covered
0.718
detail
Ben Williamson is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 25% of the time against the kind of pitches Gavin Williams throws, compared with 19% against everyone else — 6 points worse. The reason is the sweeper: Gavin Williams throws it 29% of the time, and Ben Williamson strikes out 42% of the time against it across 19 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 72% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.