EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+13 pts

Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 61% of the time against the kind of pitches Bubba Chandler throws, compared with 48% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Bubba Chandler throws it 48% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 68% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 63% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

Published Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 61% of the time against the kind of pitches Bubba Chandler throws, compared with 48% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Bubba Chandler throws it 48% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 68% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 63% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jonah Cox Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
813841
player name
Jonah Cox
team
San Francisco Giants
matchup
San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates
pitcher name
Bubba Chandler
direction
vulnerable
headline
+13 pts
weighted krate
0.608
own baseline
0.475
k delta
0.133
weighted avg
0.095
mix covered
0.633
detail
Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 61% of the time against the kind of pitches Bubba Chandler throws, compared with 48% against everyone else — 13 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Bubba Chandler throws it 48% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 68% of the time against it across 22 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it. Based on 63% of what this pitcher throws — he has not faced the rest often enough to measure.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.