EDGEAI

MLBhitter vs arsenal

+7 pts

Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Quinn Mathews throws, compared with 37% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Quinn Mathews throws it 40% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 45% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

Published Monday, September 14, 2026

Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Quinn Mathews throws, compared with 37% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Quinn Mathews throws it 40% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 45% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

THE BET THIS ARGUED FOR

Jonah Cox Over 0.5 strikeouts

THE NUMBERS

player id
813841
player name
Jonah Cox
team
San Francisco Giants
matchup
San Francisco Giants @ St. Louis Cardinals
pitcher name
Quinn Mathews
direction
vulnerable
headline
+7 pts
weighted krate
0.439
own baseline
0.367
k delta
0.072
weighted avg
0.248
mix covered
0.804
detail
Jonah Cox is a worse strikeout risk than usual tonight, and his season strikeout rate does not show it. He strikes out 44% of the time against the kind of pitches Quinn Mathews throws, compared with 37% against everyone else — 7 points worse. The reason is the four-seam fb: Quinn Mathews throws it 40% of the time, and Jonah Cox strikes out 45% of the time against it across 47 plate appearances. A season strikeout rate averages every kind of pitcher he has faced, so a matchup like this disappears into it.

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.