Florian Thauvin

Lens @ Monaco

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

4 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.8 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.78 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 2.4 shots on target a match — the volume is there, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

1922

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+102

market implied prob

0.29411764705882354

edge

0.2

base rate

0.614

adjusted rate

0.682

player id

pl_0149827

player name

Florian Thauvin

position

team

Lens

match

Lens @ Monaco

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.8

expected goals per match

0.78

shots on target per match

2.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.26

penalty expected goals per match

0.53

estimated score probability

0.494

odds

+240

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.