Tijjani Noslin

Monza @ Lazio

Published Sunday, October 11, 2026

2 goals in his last 4 matches — 0.5 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.36 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.75 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.225 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

133729

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+335

market implied prob

0.33783783783783783

edge

-0.108

base rate

0.215

adjusted rate

0.262

player id

pl_01770940

player name

Tijjani Noslin

position

team

Lazio

match

Monza @ Lazio

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.5

expected goals per match

0.36

shots on target per match

0.75

non penalty expected goals per match

0.4

penalty expected goals per match

0.005

estimated score probability

0.23

odds

+196

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.