EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami @ Columbus Crew
Published Sunday, September 27, 2026
5 goals in his last 5 matches — 1 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.7 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.04. 3.8 shots on target a match — the volume is there, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
154
odds source
market
bookmaker
MyBookie.ag
estimated odds
+116
market implied prob
0.5652173913043478
edge
-0.102
base rate
0.504
adjusted rate
0.622
player id
pl_080525
player name
Lionel Messi
position
F
team
Inter Miami
match
Inter Miami @ Columbus Crew
goals in window
5
matches played
5
goals per match
1
expected goals per match
0.7
shots on target per match
3.8
non penalty expected goals per match
0.73
penalty expected goals per match
0.024
estimated score probability
0.463
odds
-130
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.