Jonathan David

Real Madrid @ Atletico Madrid

Published Sunday, September 20, 2026

2 goals in his last 3 matches — 0.67 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.55 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 1.67 shots on target a match — the volume is there, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

8489

odds source

market

bookmaker

Pinnacle

estimated odds

+211

market implied prob

0.29411764705882354

edge

0.028

base rate

0.284

adjusted rate

0.388

player id

pl_08953283

player name

Jonathan David

position

team

Atletico Madrid

match

Real Madrid @ Atletico Madrid

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.67

expected goals per match

0.55

shots on target per match

1.67

non penalty expected goals per match

0.6

penalty expected goals per match

0.007

estimated score probability

0.322

odds

+240

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.