EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Tajon Buchanan
Villarreal @ Malaga
Published Thursday, September 17, 2026
No goals in his last 5 matches. 0.14 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07500000000000001. 1.2 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
51016
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+1654
market implied prob
0.2
edge
-0.143
base rate
0.052
adjusted rate
0.059
player id
pl_13805415
player name
Tajon Buchanan
position
M
team
Villarreal
match
Villarreal @ Malaga
goals in window
0
matches played
5
goals per match
0
expected goals per match
0.14
shots on target per match
1.2
non penalty expected goals per match
0.13
penalty expected goals per match
0.01
estimated score probability
0.057
odds
+400
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.