Chelsea @ Arsenal

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

152982

odds source

market

bookmaker

Pinnacle

estimated odds

+341

market implied prob

0.23148148148148148

edge

-0.004

base rate

0.271

adjusted rate

0.258

player id

pl_13868348

player name

Cole Palmer

position

team

Chelsea

match

Chelsea @ Arsenal

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.6

expected goals per match

0.26

shots on target per match

1.8

non penalty expected goals per match

0.32

penalty expected goals per match

0.004

estimated score probability

0.227

odds

+332

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.