Aleksandar Pavlović

Union Berlin @ Bayern München

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.25 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

328033

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+452

market implied prob

0.17543859649122806

edge

0.006

base rate

0.131

adjusted rate

0.2

player id

pl_25903111

player name

Aleksandar Pavlović

position

team

Bayern München

match

Union Berlin @ Bayern München

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.25

shots on target per match

0.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.28

penalty expected goals per match

0.006

estimated score probability

0.181

odds

+470

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.