Álvaro García

Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano

Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.23 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.6 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

47543

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+720

market implied prob

0.23809523809523808

edge

-0.116

base rate

0.129

adjusted rate

0.13

player id

pl_2717078

player name

Álvaro García

position

team

Rayo Vallecano

match

Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.23

shots on target per match

0.6

non penalty expected goals per match

0.23

penalty expected goals per match

0.004

estimated score probability

0.122

odds

+320

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.