EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Newcastle @ Leeds
Published Monday, September 14, 2026
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
50739
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+346
market implied prob
0.18867924528301888
edge
0.035
base rate
0.206
adjusted rate
0.254
player id
pl_29160583
player name
Brenden Aaronson
position
F
team
Leeds
match
Newcastle @ Leeds
goals in window
1
matches played
5
goals per match
0.2
expected goals per match
0
shots on target per match
0.6
non penalty expected goals per match
0.07
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.224
odds
+430
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.