EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Atletico Madrid @ Liverpool
Published Wednesday, September 9, 2026
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
2864
odds source
market
bookmaker
Pinnacle
estimated odds
+153
market implied prob
0.40160642570281124
edge
-0.006
base rate
0.399
adjusted rate
0.505
player id
pl_29627593
player name
Alexander Isak
position
F
team
Liverpool
match
Atletico Madrid @ Liverpool
goals in window
3
matches played
3
goals per match
1
expected goals per match
0.73
shots on target per match
1.67
non penalty expected goals per match
0.74
penalty expected goals per match
0.007
estimated score probability
0.396
odds
+149
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.