Ermedin Demirović

Borussia Dortmund @ VfB Stuttgart

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

4 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.8 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.48 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1.2 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

46930

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+172

market implied prob

0.38461538461538464

edge

-0.017

base rate

0.363

adjusted rate

0.459

player id

pl_29711667

player name

Ermedin Demirović

position

team

VfB Stuttgart

match

Borussia Dortmund @ VfB Stuttgart

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.8

expected goals per match

0.48

shots on target per match

1.2

non penalty expected goals per match

0.46

penalty expected goals per match

0.042

estimated score probability

0.368

odds

+160

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.