Luis Díaz

Union Berlin @ Bayern München

Published Friday, September 18, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.66 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1.2 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

2489

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+317

market implied prob

0.5412844036697247

edge

-0.301

base rate

0.22

adjusted rate

0.274

player id

pl_30131344

player name

Luis Díaz

position

team

Bayern München

match

Union Berlin @ Bayern München

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.66

shots on target per match

1.2

non penalty expected goals per match

0.69

penalty expected goals per match

0.03

estimated score probability

0.24

odds

-118

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.