EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Newcastle @ Leeds
Published Monday, September 14, 2026
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
18778
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+352
market implied prob
0.21739130434782608
edge
0.004
base rate
0.236
adjusted rate
0.25
player id
pl_30187283
player name
Harvey Barnes
position
F
team
Newcastle
match
Newcastle @ Leeds
goals in window
3
matches played
5
goals per match
0.6
expected goals per match
0.04
shots on target per match
1
non penalty expected goals per match
0.09
penalty expected goals per match
0.002
estimated score probability
0.221
odds
+360
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.