Pep Biel

Chicago Fire @ Charlotte

Published Saturday, September 26, 2026

1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.22 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

47058

odds source

market

bookmaker

MyBookie.ag

estimated odds

+385

market implied prob

0.34965034965034963

edge

-0.144

base rate

0.163

adjusted rate

0.231

player id

pl_30287384

player name

Pep Biel

position

team

Charlotte

match

Chicago Fire @ Charlotte

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.2

expected goals per match

0.22

shots on target per match

0.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.07

penalty expected goals per match

0.15

estimated score probability

0.206

odds

+186

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.