EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Adrián Niño
Espanyol @ Malaga
Published Friday, October 9, 2026
1 goal in his last 3 matches — 0.33 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.17 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.33 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
386850
odds source
market
bookmaker
William Hill
estimated odds
+403
market implied prob
0.36363636363636365
edge
-0.165
base rate
0.229
adjusted rate
0.222
player id
pl_36124854
player name
Adrián Niño
position
F
team
Malaga
match
Espanyol @ Malaga
goals in window
1
matches played
3
goals per match
0.33
expected goals per match
0.17
shots on target per match
0.33
non penalty expected goals per match
0.17
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.199
odds
+175
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.