EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Alejandro Grimaldo
Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid
Published Wednesday, September 16, 2026
1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.19 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.8 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
563
odds source
market
bookmaker
1xBet
estimated odds
+478
market implied prob
0.20408163265306123
edge
-0.031
base rate
0.162
adjusted rate
0.19
player id
pl_3755577
player name
Alejandro Grimaldo
position
D
team
Atletico Madrid
match
Osasuna @ Atletico Madrid
goals in window
1
matches played
5
goals per match
0.2
expected goals per match
0.19
shots on target per match
0.8
non penalty expected goals per match
0.03
penalty expected goals per match
0.152
estimated score probability
0.173
odds
+390
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.