Niclas Füllkrug

FC Augsburg @ Werder Bremen

Published Saturday, September 19, 2026

3 goals in his last 4 matches — 0.75 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.11 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1.25 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

25391

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+302

market implied prob

0.37037037037037035

edge

-0.121

base rate

0.239

adjusted rate

0.287

player id

pl_4005486

player name

Niclas Füllkrug

position

team

Werder Bremen

match

FC Augsburg @ Werder Bremen

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.75

expected goals per match

0.11

shots on target per match

1.25

non penalty expected goals per match

0.11

penalty expected goals per match

0.01

estimated score probability

0.249

odds

+170

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.