Monza @ Parma

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

340547

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+276

market implied prob

0.2777777777777778

edge

-0.012

base rate

0.368

adjusted rate

0.309

player id

pl_40561640

player name

Gustavo Varela

position

team

Monza

match

Monza @ Parma

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

1.33

expected goals per match

0.29

shots on target per match

1.33

non penalty expected goals per match

0.34

penalty expected goals per match

0.023

estimated score probability

0.266

odds

+260

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.