EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Tyrhys Dolan
Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano
Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026
1 goal in his last 5 matches — 0.2 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.05 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 0.2 shots on target a match — thin volume for a goal-scorer price, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
273732
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+625
market implied prob
0.1388888888888889
edge
-0.001
base rate
0.139
adjusted rate
0.149
player id
pl_40999582
player name
Tyrhys Dolan
position
F
team
Espanyol
match
Espanyol @ Rayo Vallecano
goals in window
1
matches played
5
goals per match
0.2
expected goals per match
0.05
shots on target per match
0.2
non penalty expected goals per match
0.05
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.138
odds
+620
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.