EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Chelsea @ Arsenal
Published Sunday, September 6, 2026
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
1460
odds source
market
bookmaker
Pinnacle
estimated odds
+219
market implied prob
0.2915451895043732
edge
0.021
base rate
0.301
adjusted rate
0.375
player id
pl_45126714
player name
Bukayo Saka
position
F
team
Arsenal
match
Chelsea @ Arsenal
goals in window
2
matches played
4
goals per match
0.5
expected goals per match
0.31
shots on target per match
0.5
non penalty expected goals per match
0.33
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.313
odds
+243
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.