David Larrubia

Villarreal @ Malaga

Published Thursday, September 17, 2026

No goals in his last 5 matches. 0.11 expected goals a match, so the scoring is backed by the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07500000000000001. 0.4 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

190253

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+1654

market implied prob

0.2127659574468085

edge

-0.156

base rate

0.05

adjusted rate

0.059

player id

pl_45242966

player name

David Larrubia

position

team

Malaga

match

Villarreal @ Malaga

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

expected goals per match

0.11

shots on target per match

0.4

non penalty expected goals per match

0.1

penalty expected goals per match

0.024

estimated score probability

0.057

odds

+370

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.