EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Lucas Boyé
Valencia @ Alaves
Published Tuesday, September 15, 2026
4 goals in his last 4 matches — 1 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.26 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.07. 1.25 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
608
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+120
market implied prob
0.36231884057971014
edge
0.093
base rate
0.397
adjusted rate
0.607
player id
pl_45725550
player name
Lucas Boyé
position
F
team
Alaves
match
Valencia @ Alaves
goals in window
4
matches played
4
goals per match
1
expected goals per match
0.26
shots on target per match
1.25
non penalty expected goals per match
0.29
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.455
odds
+176
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.