Chelsea @ Arsenal

Published Sunday, September 6, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

978

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+246

market implied prob

0.3448275862068966

edge

-0.056

base rate

0.241

adjusted rate

0.341

player id

pl_45857110

player name

Kai Havertz

position

team

Arsenal

match

Chelsea @ Arsenal

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

0.6

expected goals per match

0.21

shots on target per match

0.8

non penalty expected goals per match

0.26

penalty expected goals per match

0.014

estimated score probability

0.289

odds

+190

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.