Real Madrid @ Real Betis

Published Friday, September 4, 2026

THE NUMBERS

photo player id

278

odds source

market

bookmaker

Betfair

estimated odds

+123

market implied prob

0.6415770609318996

edge

-0.193

base rate

0.563

adjusted rate

0.596

player id

pl_57255528

player name

Kylian Mbappé

position

team

Real Madrid

match

Real Madrid @ Real Betis

goals in window

matches played

goals per match

expected goals per match

0.93

shots on target per match

3.2

non penalty expected goals per match

1.02

penalty expected goals per match

0.01

estimated score probability

0.449

odds

-179

This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.