EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Felix Nmecha
Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund
Published Friday, October 9, 2026
2 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.4 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.08 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 0.6 shots on target a match, against a median of 0.25 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
637
odds source
market
bookmaker
Betfair
estimated odds
+456
market implied prob
0.19230769230769232
edge
-0.012
base rate
0.148
adjusted rate
0.198
player id
pl_57318988
player name
Felix Nmecha
position
M
team
Borussia Dortmund
match
Werder Bremen @ Borussia Dortmund
goals in window
2
matches played
5
goals per match
0.4
expected goals per match
0.08
shots on target per match
0.6
non penalty expected goals per match
0.09
penalty expected goals per match
0
estimated score probability
0.18
odds
+420
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.