EDGEAI
SOCCERgoal scorer watch
Simon Becher
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
Published Saturday, September 26, 2026
3 goals in his last 5 matches — 0.6 a game. The median for tonight's candidates is 0 a match. 0.37 expected goals a match, so the scoring is running ahead of the chances he is getting. Tonight's median is 0.06. 1.6 shots on target a match — the volume is there, against a median of 0.2 for tonight's candidates.
THE NUMBERS
photo player id
71739
odds source
market
bookmaker
MyBookie.ag
estimated odds
+252
market implied prob
0.4291845493562232
edge
-0.145
base rate
0.301
adjusted rate
0.334
player id
pl_61090092
player name
Simon Becher
position
F
team
St. Louis City
match
St. Louis City @ New York Red Bulls
goals in window
3
matches played
5
goals per match
0.6
expected goals per match
0.37
shots on target per match
1.6
non penalty expected goals per match
0.37
penalty expected goals per match
0.026
estimated score probability
0.284
odds
+133
This record was written when the finding was first published and has not been edited since. The numbers and the wording are what our engines produced on the day.